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Stochastically curtailed tests in long–term clinical trials

by: Gordon KK Lan, Richard Simon, Max Halperin
Sequential Analysis, Vol. 1, No. 3. (1982), pp. 207-219.


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In data monitoring of long-term clinical trials one frequently faces the question of whether the trial should be terminated early either to reject or "accept" the null hypothesis (H<sub>0</sub>). To help answer this question, this paper suggests that, in the context of a particular proposed analysis at the end of the trial, one might stop early and reject (accept) H<sub>0</sub> when the Conditional probability under H<sub>0</sub> (the alternative hypothesis, H<sub>a</sub>)


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