How Much More Global Warming and Sea Level Rise?

by: Gerald A Meehl, Warren M Washington, William D Collins, Julie M Arblaster, Aixue Hu, Lawrence E Buja, Warren G Strand, Haiyan Teng

Science, Vol. 307, No. 5716. (18 March 2005), pp. 1769-1772.

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摘要

Two global coupled climate models show that even if the concentrations of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere had been stabilized in the year 2000, we are already committed to further global warming of about another half degree and an additional 320% sea level rise caused by thermal expansion by the end of the 21st century. Projected weakening of the meridional overturning circulation in the North Atlantic Ocean does not lead to a net cooling in Europe. At any given point in time, even if concentrations are stabilized, there is a commitment to future climate changes that will be greater than those we have already observed. 10.1126/science.1106663

@article{citeulike:1103684, abstract = {Two global coupled climate models show that even if the concentrations of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere had been stabilized in the year 2000, we are already committed to further global warming of about another half degree and an additional 320\% sea level rise caused by thermal expansion by the end of the 21st century. Projected weakening of the meridional overturning circulation in the North Atlantic Ocean does not lead to a net cooling in Europe. At any given point in time, even if concentrations are stabilized, there is a commitment to future climate changes that will be greater than those we have already observed. 10.1126/science.1106663}, author = {Meehl, Gerald A. and Washington, Warren M. and Collins, William D. and Arblaster, Julie M. and Hu, Aixue and Buja, Lawrence E. and Strand, Warren G. and Teng, Haiyan }, citeulike-article-id = {1103684}, doi = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/science.1106663}, journal = {Science}, keywords = {anthropogenic, climate, climate\_change, sea\_level\_rise}, month = {March}, number = {5716}, pages = {1769--1772}, posted-at = {2007-02-12 19:35:41}, priority = {0}, title = {How Much More Global Warming and Sea Level Rise?}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/science.1106663}, volume = {307}, year = {2005} }

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TY - JOUR ID - citeulike:1103684 L3 - citeulike-article-id:1103684 TI - How Much More Global Warming and Sea Level Rise? JF - Science VL - 307 IS - 5716 SP - 1769 EP - 1772 N2 - Two global coupled climate models show that even if the concentrations of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere had been stabilized in the year 2000, we are already committed to further global warming of about another half degree and an additional 320% sea level rise caused by thermal expansion by the end of the 21st century. Projected weakening of the meridional overturning circulation in the North Atlantic Ocean does not lead to a net cooling in Europe. At any given point in time, even if concentrations are stabilized, there is a commitment to future climate changes that will be greater than those we have already observed. 10.1126/science.1106663 KW - anthropogenic KW - climate KW - climate_change KW - sea_level_rise AU - Meehl, Gerald AU - Washington, Warren AU - Collins, William AU - Arblaster, Julie AU - Hu, Aixue AU - Buja, Lawrence AU - Strand, Warren AU - Teng, Haiyan PY - 2005/03/18/ UR - http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/science.1106663 ER -

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